I drink your Milkshake!

While perusing the Globe and Mail this morning I happened to come across the latest election poll snapshot and notice something amusing. According to Angus Reid, yesterdays polls are currently showing:

  • 37% for the Conservatives
  • 26% Liberals, 21% NDP,
  • 10% Green, and
  • 8% for the Bloc,

or in other words:

  • 37% Right,
  • 57% Left, and
  • 8% Bloc.

Is it just me or does this look like a strange, mirror image, deja-vu of 90’s politics. If I am remembering correctly, it was only a short time ago that the Progressive Conservatives/Reform Parties were suffering from a very same vote sharing situation that faces the Liberals, NDP and Green this time around. And to compound the problem, as I browse through the various party websites and pamphlets, I find, perhaps more so than any previous election that I remember, the campaign platforms of each of Left-winged parties are extremely similar; each placing the environment center stage.

As I’m a little more concerned about the economy than the environment this shot around, and will be voting to the Right, I’m not too worried about the vote sharing of the Left, however, I think my colleagues should be at least a little concerned. It is this sharing of the milkshake, if you will, that will play right into the majority aspirations of the Conservatives.

~O’Smiley

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2 Comments

  1. Manatee said,

    Thursday, 11 September 2008 at 4:24 pm

    Those who would identify themselves as being democratic socialists would cringe at your having lumped the Liberals in with our camp! I know I did.

    I’d prefer this breakdown:
    -liberal: Liberal + Conservative 63%
    -social democrats or democratic socialists: NDP + Bloc 29%
    -populists whose social/economic ideology is hard to pin down: Green 10%

  2. Gnomes said,

    Thursday, 11 September 2008 at 5:19 pm

    I’d call the Conservatives conservative in centrist clothing, the Liberals centrist, and the NDP, Greens and Bloc leftist.

    It was an entertaining decade-long drama watching Reform splice off from the PCs in protest, then slowly evolve into a behemoth that consumed its parent, only to find that it had in the process become exactly what it had protested against.

    The NDP and the Liberals share no such history, and have less common idealogy and policy than the Liberals and the Conservatives do. In the event of another minority, barring a truly spectacular Liberal collapse (I’m expecting a collapse that is merely impressive), the Conservatives will have another considerable period of Liberal support while they rebrand (as Team Ignatieff).

    How this election will play out in terms of vote splitting will be complex. The Liberals are bleeding both to the Cons and to the NDP. While the high NDP numbers may mean that some seats the Liberals would otherwise have won will may go Conservative, the correspondingly weak Liberal numbers may mean some seats that the Conservatives would have won may go NDP.


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